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About the Authors...  |
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Jumoke Jugan is an expert project finance. She was involved in a number of
ground-breaking PPP deals including the concession of the water &
sanitation system of Bucharest, Romania, and the Samoa transaction, resulting
in Polynesian Blue (the first low-cost carrier participation in a PPP). |
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Isabel Marques de Sa is a natural resources and infrastructure privatization expert,
with extensive experience in Latin America. In Brazil she led the privatization
of the Energy Company of Ceará, the creation of a multi-sector
regulatory agency, and structuring of the Térmica do Pecém
project. Ms. Jagun & Ms. Marques de Sa are both Senior Investment Officers
in IFC's Advisory Services Department.
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The Role and Importance of Independent
Advisors in PPP Transactions
Jumoke Jugan and Isabel Marques de
Sa
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Abstract |
As governments transition from their
role of monopoly provider of infrastructure services to setting the framework
for private provision of infrastructure services, independent "third party"
advisory assistance is essential to making these public-private partnerships
successful. In this article, IFC Senior Investment Officers Jumoke Jagun and
Isabel Marques de Sa lay out the key roles and responsibilities of PPP
transaction advisors.
I. Introduction
"Complicated reforms require
specialists in order to succeed
Independent Advisers can provide the
requisite expertise and experience to ensure the success of the reform process,
and have the necessary independence to advice on the appropriate path"
i
With the global increase in the
development of PPPs over the last 15 years, the role of Governments in the
provision of public infrastructure and services has gradually evolved from (a)
governments being the monopoly provider of infrastructure and public services
to (b) governments setting the framework for private provision of public
infrastructure and services and monitoring the contractual arrangements under
which the responsibility of the service provision is made (concession
contracts, lease agreements, sale of shares, etc). This is by no means an easy
transition for Governments to make, and Governments need independent "third
party" advisory assistance to make this transition successfully.
Due to the typically long-term nature
of infrastructure investments, the transfer of investment and operational
responsibility from the public sector to the private sector is generally made
under long term contracts with specific assignment of risks between the
parties. A credible Independent Adviser will advise Government that a robust
(and investment-friendly) legal and regulatory framework is critical to the
successful structuring of PPPs. This framework must remove the previous public
monopoly in the provision of public infrastructure and/or services and should
also include the principles of economic regulation that guarantee the financial
and economic equilibrium of the PPP projects. |
II. IFC's views on
Independent Advisers in PPP Transactions
IFC's Advisory Services Department
specializes in advising in the structuring of PPPs in emerging countries,
particularly frontier countries or the so called "frontier sectors" in
middle-income countries. This involves integrating strategic and transaction
advice, and structuring market-based financing and public sector risk
mitigation strategies to enable us deliver an integrated solution to the
infrastructure financing needs of our client countries.
Independent Advisers to Governments for the
structuring of PPP transactions should have the following attributes:
- Balancing Private and Public Sector
Interests - In the pursuit of sustainable economic and social benefits,
the Independent Adviser must have the ability to design PPP transactions that
guarantee long lasting social benefits for the population (through improved
service quality and long-term sector sustainability) - instead of achieving
only short-term benefits. This includes advising governments on the legal and
regulatory framework to allow for efficient PPPs, as well as assistance in the
design and drafting of new laws and regulatory institutions. Safeguarding the
interests of the government and the population in the achievement of a
successful PPP should be the Independent Adviser's top priority. The
Independent Adviser's work must not be driven by considerations of
remuneration, but by the need to provide advice that effectively reconciles
public concerns and desire for improved service quality and long-term sector
sustainability with the conditions necessary to attract private investment.
- Transparency and Investor Confidence -
Reputation as a neutral partner, an honest broker, who is absolutely committed
to the principles of transparency and fair play. The Independent Adviser's
involvement should bring the assurance needed to attract competent strategic
partners and investors, with the necessary technical and financial resources,
to the deal. In addition, assurance of neutrality and transparency will also be
important in gaining consensus among the various stakeholders in the
country.
- Multi-Skilled and Experienced Team - The
team should have extensive direct experience in infrastructure project
financing and investment as well as infrastructure reform and development. This
multi-faceted experience allows the Independent Adviser to address all aspects
of the mandate; understanding and addressing both Government's and the private
sector's legitimate concerns.
- Direct Experience in the relevant sector and
market - Ideally have direct experience as an investor and lender to
private sector investors, but critically, must have previous direct experience
in structuring PPP transactions and must understand the pressures of the public
sector. The Independent Adviser must understand the different specific sets of
issues and opportunities that exist in the relevant sector(s) and markets
(emerging versus developing), the harnessing of which requires specialized
skills and experience.
- Ties with the Global Investment Community
- The Independent Adviser must be able to attract renowned and well-established
private investors, who have extensive experience in the provision of
infrastructure services.
The Adviser's transaction responsibilities
will include (but not be limited to) the following:
- Assisting in building public support for the proposed
PPP transaction by ensuring that: (a) the transaction structures are suitable
for the country's particular conditions; (b) Government's objectives and
rationale are well-articulated, and transmitted to the public through a well
coordinated public information and education campaign; (c) the bidding process
is objective and transparent; (d) the service provision standards and targets
are well defined; and (e) a smooth transition for the labor force has been
well-defined and articulated;
- Helping Government to achieve appropriate risk
distribution between the private and public sectors, facilitating the future
mobilization of financing, and ensuring that the relevant contractual
provisions are attractive to potential investors while optimizing sustainable
long-term benefits to the consumers and the economy;
- Assisting Government in ensuring that regulatory
provisions are defined and implemented in conformity with the regulatory
framework, and that these are sufficient to attract and retain potential
investors;
- Promoting the transaction as broadly as possible to
potential investors (local and international), to foster competition for the
investment opportunity, ensuring that investors have equal access to complete
data, in a well-structured transaction process; and
- Implementing the bidding process with maximum
transparency in accordance with the rules and procedures defined with
Government and in accordance with best international practice.
Key responsibilities of Independent
Advisers which deserve some further discussion are:
1. Long Term sustainability of a PPP
transaction
The long-term sustainability of a PPP is
certainly the most daunting and important objective to achieve. Sustainability
requires that the partnership needs to address: (i) often conflicting
objectives of Governments, (ii) social needs and increasing sense of ownership
from the general public of their right to public services at affordable prices
- especially once a private operator is in place, and (iii) investor's
requirements, in terms of acceptable level of risks, profitability and
bankability. Failure to properly address any of the parties' requirements
greatly increases the probability that the PPP Transaction will malfunction
and/or will be terminated with consequent high political costs and further
degradation of the already poor levels of service. In this regard, an
independent advisor with a clear understanding of the balance to be obtained
between the three main constituencies through the structuring of a transaction
can definitively contribute to improving the long term sustainability of a
public private partnership.
Conflicting Government
Objectives
Governments have competing and conflicting
objectives and priorities, with short tem financial objectives often prevailing
over long term objectives It is critical that the Independent Adviser
understands the competing and conflicting pressures on Government (financial
and political), and is prepared and able to assist Government in the definition
of appropriate transaction objectives which take account of project and
consumer needs and private sector risk appetite, in order to achieve a
successful transaction.
Budgetary constraints (financial) and the
desire not to be perceived as "giving away the family silver" (political) often
lead Governments to identify financial maximization as the main objective of a
PPP, either (i) through maximizing upfront or annual concession fees with
maintenance or reduction of the tariff in real terms, or (ii) through
minimizing financial contribution in the case of a negative concession. This
objective is often stated by Governments, even when significant levels of
capital investment are required going forward, to achieve acceptable levels and
standards of service to the population.
Governments do not intrinsically understand
the private sector analysis of returns on investment (or capital employed), and
it is the responsibility of the Independent Adviser to demonstrate to
Government that financial maximization of proceeds in such an instance, will
likely only be achieved through the setting of inappropriately low levels and
standards of service, resulting in reduced capital investments over the term.
This explanation must highlight the fact that such an approach would mainly
impact the poorest segments of the population that will remain outside the
perimeters of the project or, if included, will remain underserved, as these
marginal segments of the market often require high levels of investments and
rarely procure any return.
The unsatisfactory levels of service
resulting from any underinvestment will quickly generate popular
dissatisfaction, which is the last thing that most Governments want or need.
The rising sense of ownership and increased awareness of their social and
economic rights by the populations served by private operators is easily
captured by the political opposition to the ruling party. The political cost of
such struggles can be extremely high, eventually leading to social unrest
and/or political instability.
When the financial and economic equilibrium
of PPPs requires that Governments the provide guarantees for the public
sector's contractual obligations, the political sensitivity of the transaction
increases with a corresponding increase in project stress. In extreme cases,
where significant public sector capital investments or revenue subsidies are
required upfront or over the life of the concession, Governments have in fact
been accused by the opposition parties of "giving away the family
silver" - a difficult political situation for the ruling party to be in.
Affordability and Consumer
Rights
In some cases, financial and economic
equilibrium of the PPP transaction can only be achieved through the provision
of certain subsidies. Typically, there is a strong correlation between PPP
projects requiring subsidies and poor socio-economic conditions in the country.
These subsidies can either be provided internally through allowed transfers
between classes of consumers and/or regions, or, directly to the end consumer.
In a number of countries, the inclusion of
the poorest segments of the population in the design of a concession is
critical to its long-term political sustainability. A credible Independent
Adviser will advise clients on the best way to do this if direct subsides are
not available; and if they are, an efficient use of the subsidy will be an
important element of the overall transaction design.
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Box 1: Social and Political
realities of serving the poor and underserved
In the water transaction in the
Municipality of Petrolina, about 40,000 of the total population of about
200,000 reside in the rural, semi-arid area of Northeast Brazil. This
population has limited water sources and is only randomly supplied potable
water by water trucks. The regular provision of quality treated water together
with the delivery of a cistern was included as a private sector obligation at
the cost of reducing the net proceeds from the transaction. Although investors
considered that the inclusion of rural service had a negative financial impact
on the concession, they very quickly realized the social and, fundamentally,
political importance of serving this particular needy population. This aspect
will become more critical as more sub-sovereign (e.g. municipal) concessions in
basic and essential public services like water are structured. |
If the Governments' objectives are
re-defined as "the maximization of financial proceeds while ensuring the
quality of service and the long term sustainability of the PPP", an
Independent Advisor shall as it should, give particular attention to risk
allocation and consistency between investment and required levels and standards
of service.
2. Appropriate Risk Allocation
It is clear that in the structuring of
PPPs, an honest broker is needed to create a proper balance between risk and
reward for all parties. The Independent Adviser has the crucial responsibility
to: recommend, structure and implement a sustainable (financially and
politically), bankable transaction which achieves appropriate risk allocation
between the public and private sectors, with relevant provisions that are
attractive to potential investors, fulfill Government objectives and satisfy
the ultimate consumer needs.
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Box 2: External support of
public sector obligations can improve market appetite
A recent example is the
privatization of a power distribution company in Romania, where the required
IRR was reduced from 15% (which was not accepted by the market) to 12% by the
fact that the regulatory risk was covered by a World Bank guarantee. Subsequent
transactions used this IRR landmark without any guarantees. External support of
public sector obligations can also be extended to termination payment risks and
others. |
To achieve the above, the Independent
Advisor will ensure that Governments understand the following:
- When Governments enters into a PPPs, they should act as
commercial entities assuming the risks they are better positioned to control
(in spite of the prerogatives granted to Governments in Civil Code
countries);
- Proper risk allocation translates into lowering the cost
of capital and ultimately impacts the level of required tariffs and/or the
financial proceeds. Obviously risk allocation also depends on the country's
investment environment, legal stability and track record;
- A proper allocation of risks between the parties
supported by executable guarantees against possible defaults can substantially
enhance the attractiveness of a PPP; and
- Particular products like guarantees on the Governments'
contractual obligations further increase the stability and predictability of
the partnership and therefore the Government's financial return if a
partnership is to be granted in competition.
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Box 3: Tensions between
investment requirements and operational efficiency
In many PPPs, we observe that
Governments have a clear incentive to require unrealistically high levels of
investment, instead of requiring appropriate investment with improved
operational efficiency. Political pressures - high levels of investment are
quicker and easier to measure than efficiency (and make good political "sound
bites") - together with the type of "new PPP actors", often subsidiaries of
construction companies that see PPP transactions as a growth market, further
reinforce the focus on high levels of investment instead of levels of service.
Governments often try to impose obligations regarding the amount of investments
required from concessionaire without full consideration of increasing
operational efficiencies through reduction of losses etc, or the elasticity of
demand upon introduction of modern technology and appropriate pricing in the
billing and collection areas. Such over-investment will necessarily result in a
need to renegotiate tariffs upwards or decrease the standard of service
increasing the risk of consumer dissatisfaction. It is critical that the
Independent Adviser accurately analyze this tension and, explain to and
convince Government of appropriate action. |
In our experience, a thorough consideration
of the type and amount of investments required to provide a satisfactory
quality of service at affordable tariff levels is critical to the long term
sustainability of a PPP. This is an area where the role and quality of the
Independent Adviser is key, as it requires that
| (a) |
the contractual documentation governing the PPP
properly handles the inherent conflict between efficiency and investment; and
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| (b) |
the Advisor is independent enough to manage
Governments' often unrealistic expectations of high levels of investment. |
3. Investor's requirements
Finally, investor's requirements mainly
relate to acceptable level of risks, profitability and bankability. Bankability
is achieved through a proper allocation of risks and the willingness of
Governments to allow the transfer of certain rights from the private sector
partners to lenders, in order to obtain a satisfactory risk profile to banks.
Unbalanced concession contracts with unrealistic allocation of risks may find
aggressive sponsors but will ultimately fail to mobilize appropriate financing,
adding financial stress to the concession. This is a final key area where the
quality and experience of the Independent Adviser is critical to the success of
the transaction. A successful PPP project is one that strikes the "right
balance" between the risks transferred to the private sector and those retained
by the public sector.
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Box 4: Polynesian Blue - A
Model PPP Transaction
Background: Polynesian
Airlines, the national carrier of Samoa was inefficient and loss-making. Total
Government subsidy was over US$76mm between 1994 and 2003. Government subsidy
in 2004 budget was over half of budget deficit.
Government of Samoa (GoS)
Objective: Introduce PPP to eliminate burden on treasury, increase
access to Samoa and assist in Samoa tourism development.
Solution:
- A new JV airline - Polynesian
Blue - to take-over the loss-making long-haul routes using Virgin Blue
(Australia)'s low-cost model.
- Shareholding is GoS 49%; Aggie
Greys Hotel 2% and Virgin Blue 49%.
- Polynesian Blue to operate on
commercial basis - with each party taking on the risks that it can best handle.
Results:
- New Equity investment of which 49% is FDI
- Annual budgetary savings of approx US$3.8mm
- Efficient, reliable and competitive air transport
access to Samoa without the financial burden of running an unprofitable
airline
- Increased penetration in the tourist markets of
Australia and New Zealand - the future of Samoan tourism.
- The first time ever a low cost airline will
participate in a PPP - a credit to the Government for being open to new
transaction structures
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Conclusion
The critical question for Governments is:
Will increasing the role of the private sector in the provision of public
infrastructure and services benefit our country? The answer to which is an
overwhelming "YES".
Given the overwhelming response to that
question, it is imperative that the Government hires credible Independent
Advisers for the reform process as the PPP process is complex and, in order to
create these benefits, requires a certain expertise.
Government use of Independent Advisers in
the structuring of PPPs has a number of advantages:
- It allows the public sector to access
global and technical expertise that does not exist within the government.
- It can prevent the government from
making costly mistakes.
- It facilitates the transfer of
knowledge from the private sector to the public sector; and
- It brings legitimacy to the PPP process
- often placing an external stamp of endorsement on the government's proposals,
thereby increasing investor and public confidence.
i Toolkit for
Hiring and Managing Advisors - http://rru.worldbank.org/.
Copyright 2006© Institute for
Public-Private Partnerships, Inc. All rights reserved
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